On Fri, 16 Oct 2020 02:52:24 -0000 (UTC), "Adam H. Kerman"
Post by Adam H. Kerman Post by RichA
I keep hearing this. "This state/city predicted wins in last several
elections." "This state is KEY to election." Etc. So the message is
(for those in the West) that once some Eastern state chooses and you can
SEE it on TV/internet, there is no more reason for you to vote.
The swing states are Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin,
and maybe North Carolina. Everything else is predictable.
The campaigns believe the very same thing as you can see from where they
have been campaigning. Sorry you don't like it, Rich, but that's what
the combination of Electoral College with winner-take-all of the entire
state delegation leaves us with.
I have always thought it iniquitous that election results were being
announced in the east while polls were still open in the west.
One of the last acts of Pierre Trudeau in Canada was to stagger
election voting times across Canada so that while Canada is 5 1/2 time
zones wide (really only 4 1/2 since Yukon has a population of roughly
100k) polling times are staggered so voting times are no more than 1
hr different between east and west coast. This prevents anomalies like
the 1980 election where the networks were calling a winner while the
polls remained open in the west. The conventional wisdom is that it
also saved the personal seat of Liberal leader John Turner in 1984 as
the 1984 election was a massive rout for the Liberals as when the bad
news was heavily coming in in Ontario Liberal party workers in Toronto
phoned their counterparts in Vancouver who called their supporters
basically saying "we're getting killed in Ontario, we need all of you
out for John to at least get him a seat in Ottawa".
While I loathe most of what Pierre Trudeau stood for, this staggering
of voting times was the best of all government initiatives -
strengthening national unity while requiring little if anything in
taxes or government spending of any sort.
[The essential geographical difference between Canada and the US is
that most of Canada is one province wide from coast to coast - there
are not states north of each other as is the norm in the continental
US. That list of US "swing states" is ALL Mid-west with the exception
of FL / NC]]