There are a lot of ways you can tell that a political campaign is in trouble.
Of course you can look at the polls, and the various models that aggregate
those polls. And right now the models do not look good for Kamala Harris.
Right now, for example, Nate Silvers model gives Donald Trump a 60% chance
of winning, with a projected 277 electoral votes.
NEW: Democrat-voting pollster Nate Silver releases new Presidential
prediction model showing commanding Trump lead:
ELECTORAL COLLEGE ODDS:
Trump: 60.1% (+20.4)
Harris: 39.7% pic.twitter.com/md7Co7lkGQ
Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) September 5, 2024
Who knows whether any of this is particularly accurate. Itll all change by
next week, most likely, and theres still plenty of time to go. But the more
interesting thing about Silvers projection isnt the specific figures. Its
that his data, which aggregates all the polls, shows a very clear trend.
Kamala Harris is losing ground, quickly, as you can see from that chart. And
its not hard to see why. When youre only capable of giving one interview to
a friendly news outlet in more than a month and when you manage to bomb
that interview then people lose confidence in your campaign very quickly.
And thats whats happening to Kamala Harris right now. She barely got a
bounce from the convention. And now shes in free fall. The media built up a
elaborate hype train for Kamala, hoping it would carry her on those tracks to
November. But the whole thing was so absurdly fake, so phony, that it
couldnt last. It ran out of steam. And now theyre stuck with Kamala Harris.
Not the idea of Kamala Harris the idea they constructed. But the fact of
her as a person. Kamala Harris, the lame, unimpressive, inarticulate
politician we all have known.
At the same time, if youre not a believer in polls or statistical models,
there are plenty of other signs that things have taken a very bad turn for
Kamala Harris candidacy. One of them is that the campaigns lying is
becoming more flagrant and shameless by the day. Theres clear desperation
everywhere you look.
Last night for instance, Kamalas account tweeted an accusation that JD Vance
had downplayed school shootings as just a fact of life. Heres what
Kamalas handlers posted to her account, above a video of Vances speech:
School shootings are not just a fact of life. It doesnt have to be this
way. We can take action to protect our childrenand we will.
So shes telling off JD Vance for supposedly saying that school shootings are
inevitable and we should all get used to them. Predictably, the Associated
Press also promoted the lie about what Vance said. They ran this headline:
JD Vance says school shootings are a fact of life.'
Deleted post: 2.2 million impressions
Corrected post: 100k impressions pic.twitter.com/4Q5tpIoGXn
Townhall.com (@townhallcom) September 6, 2024
Several million people saw this smear and repeated it. The outrage machine
kicked into gear, as expected. Eventually Twitters community notes feature
corrected it, and the AP finally deleted their original post, and updated
their headline. Now the APs headline reads very differently. It says,: JD
Vance says he laments that school shootings are a fact of life.'
So they suggested that Vance was minimizing the fact that a school shooting
had occurred, when in fact he was doing the opposite. As far as lies go, this
one was extremely transparent. Anyone could just watch the video to see what
JD Vance actually said. But the AP, and the Kamala Harris campaign, went
ahead with the lie anyway. And that tells us that theyre desperate
obviously so. Theyre in a very bad position and they know it. Campaigns that
are confident, and surging in the polls, dont need to invent fake quotes
that are easy to disprove in about five seconds.
And for that matter, campaigns that arent collapsing dont have surrogates
who go wildly off-message all the time. But thats happening to Kamalas
campaign too. People who are supposed to be promoting Kamala are, instead,
sabotaging her messaging at every opportunity.
Here for example is Joe Biden the other day, talking about the Inflation
Reduction Act. This is the law that Kamala Harris cast the tie-breaking vote
on. But instead of arguing that the Inflation Reduction Act reduced
inflation, Biden instead admitted that the law in fact had nothing to do with
inflation. Instead he said it was a climate bill. Watch:
Joe Biden just STRAIGHT UP ADMITTED that the Inflation Reduction Act
was a TOTAL SCAM that had NOTHING to do with reducing inflation!
Does Kamala Harris agree with this?
"We should've named it what it was!" pic.twitter.com/2WL7N1exN2
Townhall.com (@townhallcom) September 5, 2024
We shouldve named it what it was.
If youre Kamala, thats not exactly something you want to hear one of your
surrogates say on the campaign trail. Its an admission that Kamala Harris
deceived the entire country about the one major legislative accomplishment
she claims to have. And once you admit that, theres no reason for anyone to
trust her ever again. Theres certainly no reason to trust her when she says
that she can implement her economic agenda including taxing unrealized
capital gains without destroying the U.S. economy.
And just to underscore that point, another prominent supporter of Kamala
Mark Cuban just went on CNBC to explain that taxing unrealized capital
gains would be a disaster. Watch:
NEW: Mark Cuban gets flustered & says "no" 16 times after CNBC host
Rebecca Quick said Kamala is just telling people what they want to
hear.
"No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no," Cuban
said.
The "no" comment came after Cuban said Harris' plan to tax
pic.twitter.com/6B1WeqsqvC
Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) September 5, 2024
Cuban went on to say that hes supposedly spoken with Harris team and that
they now understand that taxing unrealized capital gains may not be a great
idea. But that doesnt explain why they proposed it in the first place. It
also doesnt explain why theyre still pushing it. Kamala hasnt explained,
in detail, why she still wants a tax on unrealized capital gains. Her team
has walked back some of the numbers, but shes still proposing the tax. Why
is that exactly? How can she support a tax that even her own supporters
recognized would be a disaster?
We all know the answer to that question. Kamala Harris doesnt know anything
about economics. Ask her one question about unrealized capital gains and
shell start babbling about equity. She wont be able to defend the policy
even for a moment. Everyone even her surrogates understands this. And now
theyre comfortable coming out on television and admitting it.
These are not great signs for the Kamala Harris campaign. But maybe the worst
sign of all is what took place earlier this week. Kamala received an
endorsement from Liz Cheney, who recently lost her House seat by a margin
that was almost unparalleled in modern politics. If there was ever an
endorsement that qualified as the kiss of death, this is it.
Heres the awkwardly filmed cellphone footage of the big moment:
Finally, Liz Cheney endorsed Kamala Harris! Let's go! ????????????
#HarrisWalz2024 #LizCheney #CountryOverParty
pic.twitter.com/wm5n9nXWZu
???????????? ?????????????? (@Bannerman104) September 4, 2024
Liz Cheney goes on and on about how Kamala Harris will save democracy and
freedom in the United States. And people in the audience pretend to be
excited about this endorsement. But if you go back just a couple of years,
Liz Cheney had a very different perspective on Kamala Harris. She pointed out
that Kamala had explicitly promised to suspend Americans constitutional
rights via executive order. She explained that Kamala Harris wants to spend
trillions of dollars on universal healthcare. And she concluded that shes a
Radical to the left of Bernie Sanders who no one should vote for. Watch:
WATCH: Just as Liz Cheney announced her endorsement of Kamala Harris,
a video has resurfaced of her SLAMMING Kamala, calling her a radical
"Her voting record is to the left of Bernie Sanders
It's very clear,
she [Kamala] is a radical liberal"
pic.twitter.com/fIQFVkyKsS
George (@BehizyTweets) September 4, 2024
This is the kind of endorsement youd probably rather refuse, if you had the
choice. There is no one, on either side of the political spectrum, who covets
an endorsement from Liz Cheney. But now its the endorsement that Kamala
Harris is stuck with. This is the caliber of endorsement her candidacy is
attracting, as her surrogates are publicly disavowing her policy positions.
As the ship sinks, Kamala Harris is quite literally getting endorsed by the
biggest losers in all of politics.
Of course Kamala Harris has no one to blame for this but herself. Because
shes not appearing for interviews, she has to rely on surrogates to explain
what she stands for, and why. Kamala Harris herself is nowhere to be found.
Thats why people are still digging up clips of her speeches from several
years ago, to try to figure out what a Kamala Harris administration would
look like. Thats what were reduced to, when the candidate is incapable of
speaking.
Heres one of those clips thats now making the rounds, which is apparently
from 2019:
Elon Musk, RFK Jr., and Tulsi Gabbard are raising concerns of free
speech under Kamala Harris.
In 2019, Harris vowed to use the DOJ and law enforcement to 'hold
social media platforms responsible' for 'misinformation' as part of
the 'fight against this threat to our Democracy'
pic.twitter.com/3XwD8lcoQb
Charlie Spiering (@charliespiering) September 5, 2024
As I outlined yesterday, politicians like Kamala Harris demand censorship
because without it, their candidacy falls apart. There are just too many
obvious problems with her platform that dont withstand any scrutiny. So she
wants to shut down the Internet to prevent people from talking about them.
Frankly, we are now at the point where Kamala Harris would probably censor
her own surrogates if she could. A candidate who isnt capable of speaking
for herself is now struggling to contain the people shes sending out to do
her messaging for her. With just a couple of months to go until the election,
more than any poll or statistical model, thats just about the worst
imaginable sign for the Kamala Harris campaign. What that means is very
clear, based on what weve seen so far: The lying, and the panic, are only
going to intensify from here.
--
Let's go Brandon!